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A Coming Storm—or Opportunity: How the 340B Rebate Pilot and Medicare MFP Could Strain or Strengthen the Drug Supply Chain

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The U.S. drug pricing infrastructure is entering a transformative era. On August 1, 2025, the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA) announced a voluntary 340B Rebate Model Pilot, aligned with the Inflation Reduction Act’s Maximum Fair Price (MFP) provisions under Medicare. Both initiatives are scheduled to take effect on January 1, 2026—setting the stage for a reimagined approach to affordability, transparency, and accountability across the pharmaceutical supply chain.

The shift from upfront 340B discounts to a post-sale rebate model represents more than a policy refinement, it marks a structural evolution. Covered entities (CEs) will now be required to purchase medications at higher prices and seek rebates after the fact. This fundamentally alters financial planning, cash flow management, and operational risk. Simultaneously, the MFP program will introduce price caps on select Medicare drugs, reshaping the economics for manufacturers, providers, and retail pharmacies alike.

With significant experience in pharmaceutical rebate administration, I see this moment as both a challenge and a necessary opportunity. The scope of operational transformation required, particularly for manufacturers now expected to process rebate payments within a 10-day window, is immense. Many currently may lack the infrastructure to meet such aggressive timelines. Yet with more than 12,000 CEs and 35,000 contract pharmacies participating in the 340B program, the scale of change, while unprecedented, is manageable with the right systems in place.

For CEs, the administrative burden will rise sharply. Under the current model, discounts are applied seamlessly at the point of sale. The rebate model reverses that simplicity, requiring CEs to submit and reconcile claims with multiple manufacturers, each potentially using different vendors, formats, and portals. Managing timelines, payments, and disputes will become an intensive and resource-consuming process, especially for smaller or rural entities operating with limited staff and infrastructure.

Errors and delays are inevitable. Mismatched data files, inconsistent submission schedules, and incompatible systems will create bottlenecks and reimbursement issues. Disputes over missing or incorrect payments could clog the system and divert attention away from patient care. Pharmacies, too, will face difficult choices: when MFP pricing provides better margins and operational efficiency than dispensing drugs purchased under 340B, many may opt for the former, undermining the financial benefit that CEs rely on from contract pharmacy arrangements. The full impact, and potential ineffectiveness, of current contract pharmacy restrictions under this evolving model has yet to be fully assessed.

Yet within this complexity lies a powerful opportunity for modernization. A neutral, technology-driven clearinghouse could serve as a shared infrastructure to unify rebate workflows and streamline interaction among stakeholders. By enabling one-time claims submission, standardizing data formats, tracking reimbursement status, and centralizing dispute resolution, a clearinghouse can significantly reduce the administrative friction burdening all parties.

The RxParadigm Tungsten+PLUS™ platform was purpose-built for this new environment. As one of the few operational systems with end-to-end rebate administration capabilities, it already serves as the backbone for 340B claims aggregation and offers real-time support for manufacturers, pharmacies, and CEs preparing to participate in HRSA’s rebate pilot program. Clients benefit from consolidated claim processing, scalable compliance, transparent reporting, and integrated workflows—allowing them to stay focused on delivering care, not chasing reimbursement.

This moment isn’t just about navigating change, it’s about embracing modernization. The 340B rebate model and MFP reforms offer a rare opportunity to reset the mechanics of U.S. drug pricing in a way that supports access, accountability, and long-overdue transparency. With the right technology, collaboration, and foresight, we can transform a fragmented rebate infrastructure into one that is responsive, efficient, and patient-centered.

The future of drug affordability and pricing integrity is no longer theoretical. It begins on January 1, 2026. Those who prepare now won’t just weather the storm; they’ll define the opportunity.

Mesfin Tegenu is CEO and Chairman of RxParadigm. He can be reached at Mesfin.Tegenu@rxparadigm.com.

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